Fifteen percent of eligible voters under the age of 30 in New Hampshire participated in last night’s primary, according to preliminary analysis by the Center for Information & Research on Civic Learning & Engagement (CIRCLE). Numbers may change slightly as the last 5% of precincts report their votes.
Young voters supported Ron Paul by a margin of 22 percentage points (see Table 2) and more than doubled his youth votes since the 2008 New Hampshire primary (See Table 3). Compared to 2008, Mitt Romney drew about as many young voters again in 2012.
“Although young voters did not turn out at a particularly high rate this year, they did have an impact by concentrating their votes for Rep. Ron Paul (R-TX), helping him come in second behind former Gov. Mitt Romney (R-MA),” said CIRCLE Director Peter Levine. “Dr. Paul’s 47% support from 18- to 29-year-olds was the strongest level of support for any candidate by any age group.”
Youth turnout declined from the 2004 New Hampshire primary (See Table 1), and while no two primary years are the same, 2012 is best compared to 2004 because only one party had a competitive race during both years. In election years in which both Republicans and Democrats held competitive races in New Hampshire, 2000 and 2008, youth turned out to vote at a rate of 28% and 43%, respectively. However, the total number of young voters in yesterday’s Republican primary, approximately 29,000, is comparable to the number of young people who voted for Barack Obama in the 2008 New Hampshire primary: 26,000.
Because of a lack of available data, the CIRCLE turnout estimates do not include young people who participated in yesterday’s uncontested Democratic primary.
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